FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

As I wrote earlier tonight, female candidates arguably get a small boost in political environments where “women’s issues” are top of mind, largely because they are seen as more competent on those issues than men. Of course, whether renewed attention to abortion rights is helping women tonight is difficult to know, but it’s something to keep an eye on throughout this primary season and in November. Thus far in primaries, the GOP continues to lag behind Democrats when it comes to nominating women, but that’s typical. Perhaps more interesting is that the GOP is lagging behind their 2020 numbers — according to the Center for American Women in Politics, Republican women are 18 percent of their party’s House nominees compared with 23 percent in 2020, and 7 percent of their Senate nominees compared with 26 percent in 2020. Tonight, although their overall win record is low, in at least one key race a Republican woman did well. As Maggie covered, Esther Joy King is the projected winner in Illinois’s 17th District, where she will get to run against a Democrat in an open primary, thanks to a retirement. And Republicans will nominate Heidi Ganahl for Colorado governor, to face favored incumbent Jared Polis. In Illinois’s 11th District, Catalina Lauf is leading, as is Regan Deering in Illinois’s 13th District, however, according to Cook Political Report, both of these districts favor Democrats.
How Republican women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Republican primaries and runoffs in Colorado, Illinois, Mississippi, New York, Oklahoma and Utah, as of 10:43 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Heidi Ganahl CO Gov. 80% 53.1% ✓ Won
Jennifer Qualteri CO-01 40 100.0 ✓ Won
Lauren Boebert* CO-03 95 64.1 ✓ Won
Rebecca Keltie CO-05 83 12.6 ✗ Lost
Laurel Imer CO-07 84 15.6 Trailing
Barbara Kirkmeyer CO-08 53 40.9 Leading
Jan Kulmann CO-08 53 22.8 Trailing
Lori A. Saine CO-08 53 19.6 Trailing
Kathy Salvi IL Sen. 60 30.8 Leading
Peggy Hubbard IL Sen. 60 23.7 Trailing
Philanise White IL-01 67 5.7 Trailing
Ashley Ramos IL-02 46 28.8 Trailing
Malgorzata McGonigal IL-05 59 44.7 Trailing
Niki Conforti IL-06 67 10.8 Trailing
Catherine A. O’Shea IL-06 67 9.9 Trailing
Karen Kolodziej IL-08 54 17.7 Trailing
Catalina Lauf IL-11 49 28.7 Leading
Susan L. Hathaway-Altman IL-11 49 12.3 Trailing
Cassandra Tanner Miller IL-11 49 7.2 Trailing
Andrea Heeg IL-11 49 7.0 Trailing
Regan Deering IL-13 55 35.3 Leading
Jaime Milton IL-14 64 10.3 Trailing
Mary Miller* IL-15 95 57.1 ✓ Won
JoAnne Guillemette IL-16 59 13.1 ✗ Lost
Esther Joy King IL-17 53 71.2 ✓ Won
Joan Farr OK Sen. 61 5.8 ✗ Lost
Laura Moreno OK Sen. (special) 61 1.8 Trailing
Jessica Jean Garrison OK Sen. (special) 61 1.7 Trailing
Moira McCabe OK Gov. 61 3.3 ✗ Lost
Pamela Gordon OK-02 87 3.0 Trailing
Rhonda Hopkins OK-02 87 1.7 Trailing
Stephanie Bice* OK-05 49 67.8 ✓ Won
Subrina Banks OK-05 49 32.2 ✗ Lost
Becky Edwards UT Sen. 61 32.9 ✗ Lost
Ally Isom UT Sen. 61 8.4 ✗ Lost
Tina Cannon UT-01 54 14.9 ✗ Lost
Erin Rider UT-02 56 32.8 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

ABC News is reporting that Rep. Lee Zeldin is the projected winner of the GOP nomination for governor of New York. Andrew Giuliani didn’t do all that well in the end.
Latest count in New York’s GOP primary for governor

Results of New York’s Republican primary for governor, as of 10:41 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
Lee Zeldin 133,467 42.6%
Andrew Giuliani 74,269 23.7
Rob Astorino 59,625 19.0
Harry Wilson 45,834 14.6

35% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

Interestingly, it looks like the most successful Republican primary challenges in Utah tonight were from the left.


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