FiveThirtyEight
Alex Samuels

The Associated Press has just called the Democratic primary in Illinois’s 8th District for incumbent Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi. He currently leads his opponent, Junaid Ahmed, 72 percent to 28 percent. It’s unclear which Republican Krishnamoorthi will face this fall: Chris Dargis, Peter Kopsaftis, Karen Kolodziej, Chad Koppie and Phillip Wood are vying for the GOP slot in November, but this is a pretty solidly Democratic district so I would bet that the race is very much Krishnamoorthi’s to lose.

Geoffrey Skelley

We’ve got 24 percent of the expected vote in from Utah’s 1st District, and so far the conservative revolt against GOP Rep. Blake Moore hasn’t fully materialized. He’s at 61 percent, while retired intelligence officer Andrew Badger has 26 percent and former Morgan County Councilmember Tina Cannon has 14 percent.

Nathaniel Rakich

With 76 percent of the expected vote reporting in Illinois’s 15th District, Edison has now come into closer alignment with the AP; Edison now says Miller leads Davis 57 percent to 43 percent. AP says Miller leads 58 percent to 42 percent.


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