What Went Down In The New York Primaries

Throughout the night, my colleagues have been writing about Trump’s numbers, and whether he’s over the threshold needed to secure all three delegates from a given district. Kasich and Cruz have been hoping to pick off a delegate here or there from districts where Trump doesn’t clear that bar. I commend my colleagues for their astute analysis, and I commend all but one of them for not using an expression to describe this that Clare has recently introduced to the elections podcast: “delegate leakage.” Everyone has showed admirable restraint in not using this phrase. Except Harry, who actually invented it. Harry used it at 9:37 p.m. C’mon, Harry.

If you want an idea of why the exit polls were off on the Democratic side, look no further than the 15th district. The 15th, which is the most Hispanic in the state, is favoring Clinton by over 40 percentage points. The exit poll had Clinton winning Hispanics statewide by 18 percentage points.