FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Right, Nathaniel. But Molinaro has been closing the gap in the 19th District thanks to his strong performance in the Election Day vote. Currently, the projected expected vote is 120,000, and if he were to win about 70 percent of the remaining vote, it would be nearly a 50-50 race. Hard to say just how high his remaining percentage will be, but it makes the point that this race isn’t over given the strong GOP lean of the day-of vote.


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