FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Chautauqua County in New York’s 23rd District is fully reporting its special election results, and the Republican Sempolinski has won here by 19 points. Trump won here by a very similar 20 points in 2020, so this result would be consistent with a 2020-level performance for Democrats. They’ll certainly take that, considering they won the House in that election!


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