FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Our colleagues ABC News are projecting that state Sen. Aaron Bean has won the Republican primary for Florida’s 4th District. He is currently leading Erick Aguilar 68 percent to 26 percent. Bean stands an excellent shot at going to Congress in this district with an R+15 partisan lean, which is one of four new Republican seats created by the state’s new gerrymandered congressional map.


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