Updated 2:29 PM | Feb. 6, 2016

FiveThirtyEight’s New Hampshire Diary

Micah Cohen

We’re live-blogging tonight’s ABC News Republican debate in Manchester. Check it out.

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No real signs of a Kasich surge in NH (unless you're cherry-picking polls). He's been at 12% for a long time. https://t.co/LAyaNJ47Bz
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) February 6, 2016

2:08 pm

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