[Editor’s Note: The following has been updated as of 8:22 a.m. Eastern with the latest results.]
We still don’t know how things shook out in New Hampshire’s 1st District, but we do have a projection in Tuesday’s marquee race: the GOP Senate primary.
In that race, retired Army Gen. Don Bolduc bested state Senate President Chuck Morse 37 percent to 36 percent with 90 percent of the expected vote reporting. Late in the campaign, national Republicans came in big for Morse because of Bolduc’s controversial statements and positions, but Bolduc ultimately prevailed. This race was touted as one where candidate quality could make or break Republicans’ chances of winning this seat, with someone like Morse more competitive against Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan. The FiveThirtyEight forecast gives Bolduc just a 1 in 5 shot of besting Hassan.
Meanwhile, in New Hampshire’s two House districts, we have answers in one key race. In the 1st District, which is the state’s more competitive seat and is currently held by Democrat Chris Pappas, former Trump White House official Karoline Leavitt has prevailed over 2020 GOP nominee Matt Mowers, 35 percent to 25 percent. In the 2nd District, things are still too close to call with former Hillsborough County Treasurer Bob Burns at roughly 32 percent and Keene Mayor George Hansel, the Sununu-endorsed candidate, at about 30 percent. The winner of that contest will face Democratic Rep. Ann Kuster.
In Rhode Island, we know where things ended up. First, in the governor’s race, incumbent Gov. Dan McKee eked out a victory, pushing back two very formidable primary challengers. But as Geoffrey noted on the live blog, this was a narrow victory for McKee, and put him among the 20 closest gubernatorial primary wins ever by an incumbent (elected or otherwise). Second, we were also keeping a close eye on the Democratic primary in Rhode Island’s 2nd District, where Rhode Island General Treasurer Seth Magaziner prevailed and now faces former Cranston Mayor Allan Fung in the fall. The FiveThirtyEight forecast gives Democrats an edge in this race, but as Geoffrey wrote in his preview of this race, it’s also the bluest district in the entire country to only “lean” toward Democrats, so this could be a competitive race this fall.
But OK! That’s a wrap on the 2022 primary season. Next time we’ll see you is on Nov. 8 for Election Day!