FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Yeah, Meredith, our forecast gives McKee a 98 in 100 chance of winning. I’m a little surprised, given the potential for 2022 to be a good Republican year, McKee’s unpopularity and Rhode Island’s elasticity, that it’s not more competitive. But Kalus just isn’t that notable of a candidate (if Fung had run for governor, maybe things would have been different), and obviously the midterm isn’t turning out as red as many of us expected.


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