FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Jacob, you think Mowers, the pick of McCarthy and Scalise, has been hurt by the presence of more moderate candidates like Huff Brown and Russell Prescott, who have about 27 percent combined? To be fair, the more combative state Rep. Tim Baxter also has about 10 percent, which might have flowed mostly to Leavitt if he weren’t in the race.


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