Updated |
How New Hampshire Voted
| CANDIDATE | TOTAL VOTES | VOTE PERCENTAGE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ | Donald Trump | 30,768 | 34.0% | |
| 2 | John Kasich | 14,121 | 15.6 | |
| 3 | Ted Cruz | 10,674 | 11.8 | |
| 4 | Jeb Bush | 10,430 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | Marco Rubio | 9,444 | 10.4 | |
| 6 | Chris Christie | 7,431 | 8.2 | |
| 7 | Carly Fiorina | 3,950 | 4.4 | |
| 8 | Ben Carson | 2,016 | 2.2 |
Well, we’ve made our share of stupid predictions over the course of this election cycle. But the 20 percent odds I gave for a contested convention back in December are starting to look pretty good! The thing is, even if Republicans eventually consolidate around an establishment alternative, it may take them some time to do so. Meanwhile, Trump and Cruz are going to be piling up delegates. And it’s not like Trump and Cruz’s support is going to crater to zero if someone emerges later on — they represent important constituencies within the party.
Interesting question from commenter Josh Edge: “Could the fight on the GOP side feasibly make it to the convention floor? Or will the party eventually coalesce behind a single anti-Trump candidate?”