FiveThirtyEight

CANDIDATE TOTAL VOTES VOTE PERCENTAGE
Bernie Sanders 38,264 58.1%
2 Hillary Clinton 26,277 39.9
N.H. Democratic primary results | 9:15 pm | 30% reporting

Source: AP

CANDIDATE TOTAL VOTES VOTE PERCENTAGE
Donald Trump 23,401 34.0%
2 John Kasich 10,618 15.4
3 Jeb Bush 7,971 11.6
4 Ted Cruz 7,968 11.6
5 Marco Rubio 7,132 10.4
6 Chris Christie 5,720 8.3
7 Carly Fiorina 3,019 4.4
8 Ben Carson 1,546 2.2
N.H. Republican primary results | 9:15 pm | 29% reporting

Highlighting means a candidate has been projected to finish in the rank shown

Source: AP

Nate Silver

What To Make Of Kasich’s No. 2

Our partners at ABC News have projected that Ohio Gov. John Kasich will finish in second place in the New Hampshire Republican primary. So where does he go from here? Here’s what I wrote about Kasich earlier today:
The question is how Kasich would take advantage of a strong finish. He has run pretty far to the left in New Hampshire despite having a fairly conservative record as governor of Ohio. That moderation really does help him here, but there are fewer centrist Republicans outside New Hampshire. Furthermore, Kasich doesn’t have all that much money remaining, certainly not as compared with candidates like Bush. My guess is that there’s a difference between Kasich doing pretty well and doing really well. If Kasich replicates Jon Huntsman’s 17 percent of the vote from four years ago, he might be a good story for a few days but not have much impact beyond that. If he gets to 20 percent or more of the vote, however, finishing well ahead of the other “establishment lane” candidates and even threatening to win here, that’s a different story.
Based on the results so far, Kasich is more on track for a Huntsman-esque 17 percent of the vote than something in the 20s. However, there’s one big difference between Kasich today and Huntsman four years ago. Whereas Huntsman finished behind Mitt Romney, who was broadly acceptable to Republican party elites (Huntsman also placed behind Ron Paul), Kasich has done the best of the traditional candidates tonight. It’s still not clear what that buys him, but as Republicans cast about for answers, the highly popular governor of Ohio might get at least some consideration.

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