FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

Sanders carried 63 percent of his own 2016 supporters — but they didn’t turn out in as large numbers as last time. In contrast, Klobuchar and Buttigieg did well both among 2016 Clinton supporters and among those who supported neither candidate four years ago. Also notable: Gabbard’s (relatively) strong finish among those who supported neither Clinton nor Sanders in 2016.

Candidate preference by previous vote

Chosen candidate in the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary by their 2016 vote, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate Hillary Clinton (49% of voters) Bernie Sanders (30%) Neither of these candidates (19%)
Klobuchar 26% 8% 25%
Buttigieg 24 15 26
Biden 15 2 2
Sanders 14 63 12
Warren 13 4 4
Steyer 3 2 6
Yang 3 4 7
Gabbard 0 2 13

Sample size is 2,935. Not all candidates are listed on the exit poll.

Source: ABC news/Edison research


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