FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

The exit poll numbers have updated, and one thing stood out to me: Even with the updates, the number of voters who describe themselves as “very liberal” remains down compared to 2016, while the number of self-described “moderates” is up quite a bit. This might also be a reason why the more moderate candidates did better relative to the progressive wing than in 2016, when Sanders won handily against Clinton.

Ideology: How 2020 primary voters compare to past years

How New Hampshire Democratic primary voters self-identify in 2020 and recent presidential election cycles, according to preliminary exit poll data

Ideology 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020
Very liberal 17% 15% 20% 26% 20%
Somewhat liberal 37 32 37 42 40
Moderate 38 45 36 27 36
Conservative 8 9 8 4 4

The sample size was 1,730 in 2000, 1,846 in 2004, 2,010 in 2008, 2,222 in 2016 and 2,935 in 2020.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research


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