FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

How liberal are New Hampshire’s Democratic primary voters? After a spike in “very liberal” voters in 2016, the preliminary exit poll today suggests that that number has gone down this year, while the share of voters who describe themselves as “moderate” has increased. (As we’ve mentioned before, that could be a function of the uncompetitive Republican primary this year.)

Ideology: How 2020 primary voters compare to past years

How New Hampshire Democratic primary voters self-identify in 2020 and recent presidential election cycles, according to preliminary exit poll data

Ideology 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020
Very liberal 17% 15% 20% 26% 19%
Somewhat liberal 37 32 37 42 42
Moderate 38 45 36 27 35
Conservative 8 9 8 4 3

The sample size was 1,730 in 2000, 1,846 in 2004, 2,010 in 2008, 2,222 in 2016 and 2,610 in 2020.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research


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