FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

The question of Biden’s electability edge, and the prospect that it’s eroding was brought up earlier on the live blog. But in a survey I did recently with a set of voters over age 30 whom I’ve been following since 2007, Biden’s electability edge is alive and well: He beats Trump in a hypothetical general election by a larger margin than Buttigieg, Sanders, or Warren.


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