FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Only about one-third of the expected vote is in so far from Maine’s 2nd District GOP primary, but Poliquin leads Caruso 61 percent to 39 percent, which has roughly been the margin throughout the night. In other words, Poliquin is probably going to win and head to a rematch with Democratic Rep. Jared Golden, who beat Poliquin in 2018.


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