FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

Wooo!! 🎲 Let the games begin finally!! 🎲

Nathaniel Rakich

Buckle up — we should start getting Nevada results soon.

Nathaniel Rakich

I think it’ll be competitive, Geoffrey. LePage, of course, won in the red-wave years of 2010 and 2014. In 2010, he got help because the Democratic vote was split, but in 2014 the evidence seems pretty clear that he would have won a head-to-head race too. A lot of people think of Maine as a blue state, but it has a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of just D+4, and it’s quite elastic. I think Republicans have a decent shot at flipping not just the governor’s office, but the state Senate and state House as well, creating a possible Republican trifecta.


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