FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

Sanders seems to be doing better with nonwhite voters, which suggests some of his campaign’s choices may be paying off. They have more prominent black surrogates than 2016, a very intentional strategy of organizing Latino voters, a campaign manager, Faiz Shakir, who is Muslim and Pakistani. Both Sanders and Warren seem to have gone to school on the weaknesses of prior left-wing Democratic candidates (like Howard Dean in 2004 and Sanders in 2016) and tried to adjust for that. I also think that the electorate is changing in ways that are helping Sanders — my guess is that when this primary is over, we will learn that black and Latino voters under 45 voted much differently than those over 45.


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