Nevada might switch to a primary because you could imagine there being enough of a push to pass a state law to move to a state-run primary, or even to just commit to a party-run primary. Nevadans don’t have a long connection to a caucus the way Iowans do. Technically, Wyoming still has a caucus, and North Dakota is still using that language, though it’s really more of a party-run primary. I will cautiously go with the over because I think Iowa will use caucuses again in 2024 and some other state will, too.
