What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

The basic takeaway here is that it’s Sanders’s nomination to lose. Exactly how big his margin is, who finishes second, etc., may tell us something about precisely how likely he is to lose it and who is most likely to take it away from him. But it’s his nomination to lose.

ABC News is now projecting, based on their analysis of the vote so far, that Sanders will win the Nevada Caucuses.

I think that’s right, Nate. But as you said earlier, the margin here could matter for Sanders. Is it a 20+ margin, or a 10+ margin? Though my guess is it might matter more for Biden than Sanders.