FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

You want more more preliminary entrance poll crosstabs while we wait for results? Well, looking at candidate support by age and ideology, there’s actually several things of note. First, while very liberal young people make up Sanders’s core constituency, he also does very well with somewhat liberal and even moderate young people, and quite well with very liberal older people, too. And second, moderates’ support is split by age: younger moderates like Buttigieg (in addition to Sanders), while older moderates like Biden.

Candidate preference by age and ideology

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by age and ideology, according to preliminary exit poll data

17-44 45+
Candidate Very liberal Somewhat liberal Moderate Very liberal Somewhat liberal Moderate
Sanders 70% 49% 38% 26 18% 17%
Warren 12 14 9 22 14 5
Biden 6 8 9 17 17 28
Buttigieg 5 14 31 13 18 17
Steyer 3 5 2 9 11 13
Klobuchar 2 6 5 10 18 17
Gabbard 1 1 2 0 1 0
Uncommitted 0 2 1 2 2 2

Sample size is 2,746. Not enough caucusgoers said they were conservative to show candidate breakdowns.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research

Nathaniel Rakich

But Geoffrey, North Dakota is right next door to Minnesota and is culturally similar to the rural parts of Klobuchar’s state. I bet she thinks she can win there.

Geoffrey Skelley

You may think Iowa and Nevada don’t have many pledged delegates — 41 and 36, respectively — but North Dakota has just 14.


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