FiveThirtyEight
Emily Scherer

Micah, 2020 art direction is all about that Scooby Doo-style peek!

PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES

Laura Bronner

According to preliminary entrance polls, Sanders is doing particularly well among caucusgoers who say they are not confident that the votes cast will be counted correctly. Meanwhile, Biden, Buttigieg and Klobuchar are doing better among the confident group — though Sanders still leads.

Candidate preference by confidence in the process

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by whether voters are confident that the votes cast in the caucuses will be counted correctly, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate Confident Not confident
Sanders 30% 53%
Biden 17 11
Buttigieg 16 8
Warren 13 10
Klobuchar 12 5
Steyer 9 6
Uncommitted 2 2
Gabbard 0 2

Sample size is 2,746.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research

Nathaniel Rakich

To summarize how much we know from the various sources out there:

  • Edison (which networks like ABC and CNN use) has 10 percent of precincts reporting first- and final-alignment results, but only 1 percent of precincts reporting delegate results.
  • The Associated Press has 3 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.
  • The state party has 1 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.

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