What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

According to preliminary entrance polls, Sanders is doing particularly well among caucusgoers who say they are not confident that the votes cast will be counted correctly. Meanwhile, Biden, Buttigieg and Klobuchar are doing better among the confident group — though Sanders still leads.

Candidate preference by confidence in the process

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by whether voters are confident that the votes cast in the caucuses will be counted correctly, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate	Confident	Not confident
Sanders	30%	53%
Biden	17	11
Buttigieg	16	8
Warren	13	10
Klobuchar	12	5
Steyer	9	6
Uncommitted	2	2
Gabbard	0	2

To summarize how much we know from the various sources out there:

• Edison (which networks like ABC and CNN use) has 10 percent of precincts reporting first- and final-alignment results, but only 1 percent of precincts reporting delegate results.
• The Associated Press has 3 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.
• The state party has 1 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.

It’s also worth noting that Sanders’s lead is a lot larger among caucusgoers who said they preferred a candidate who agrees with them on the issues over one who could beat Trump (if they had to choose). Among “electability” voters, Sanders was only barely ahead of Biden and Buttigieg, but among ‘issues’ voters, his lead over the other candidates is huge.

Candidate preference by type of candidate preferred

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by candidate type preference, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate	Agrees with you on major issues	Can beat Donald Trump
Sanders	55%	23%
Biden	10	19
Buttigieg	10	17
Klobuchar	5	14
Warren	12	13
Steyer	5	10
Uncommitted	2	2
Gabbard	2	0