FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

To summarize how much we know from the various sources out there:

  • Edison (which networks like ABC and CNN use) has 10 percent of precincts reporting first- and final-alignment results, but only 1 percent of precincts reporting delegate results.
  • The Associated Press has 3 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.
  • The state party has 1 percent of precincts reporting all three measures.
Laura Bronner

It’s also worth noting that Sanders’s lead is a lot larger among caucusgoers who said they preferred a candidate who agrees with them on the issues over one who could beat Trump (if they had to choose). Among “electability” voters, Sanders was only barely ahead of Biden and Buttigieg, but among ‘issues’ voters, his lead over the other candidates is huge.
Candidate preference by type of candidate preferred

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by candidate type preference, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate Agrees with you on major issues Can beat Donald Trump
Sanders 55% 23%
Biden 10 19
Buttigieg 10 17
Klobuchar 5 14
Warren 12 13
Steyer 5 10
Uncommitted 2 2
Gabbard 2 0

Sample size is 2,746.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research

Julia Wolfe

It’s early (1 percent of precincts reporting) but our friends at ABC have county delegate results.


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