FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

It’s also worth noting that Sanders’s lead is a lot larger among caucusgoers who said they preferred a candidate who agrees with them on the issues over one who could beat Trump (if they had to choose). Among “electability” voters, Sanders was only barely ahead of Biden and Buttigieg, but among ‘issues’ voters, his lead over the other candidates is huge.
Candidate preference by type of candidate preferred

Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by candidate type preference, according to preliminary exit poll data

Candidate Agrees with you on major issues Can beat Donald Trump
Sanders 55% 23%
Biden 10 19
Buttigieg 10 17
Klobuchar 5 14
Warren 12 13
Steyer 5 10
Uncommitted 2 2
Gabbard 2 0

Sample size is 2,746.

Source: ABC News/Edison Research

Julia Wolfe

It’s early (1 percent of precincts reporting) but our friends at ABC have county delegate results.

Nathaniel Rakich

Piggybacking off Nate’s point to answer Geoffrey’s question: I wonder if Biden simply doesn’t have a good picture of the results. His ground game in Nevada was much smaller than Buttigieg’s, based on the number of field offices each candidate had. (Biden had five, Buttigieg had 11.)


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