FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Micah, I think the second-place finisher in Nevada will certainly spin the results that way. But I hope no one in the media runs with it if Sanders does indeed beat the runner-up handily.

Kaleigh Rogers

I think it matters more for Buttigieg than for Biden, Micah.

Micah Cohen

Does it matter whether Buttigieg or Biden finish in second? On the one hand, if Buttigieg finishes second, can’t his campaign say, “Hey, we’ve finished first/second in Iowa, second in New Hampshire, second in Nevada — we’re the Sanders alternative.” On the other hand, both Biden and Buttigieg are likely to be pretty far behind Sanders in Nevada, so … maybe no one cares?


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