What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

Regarding the labor union vote, the preliminary entrance poll data found that 25 percent of caucusgoers came from households with a labor union member. Thing is, candidate preference wasn’t all that different between those who lived in those households and the 75 percent who came from non-union households. Sanders won 34 percent among both, for example, while Biden won 19 percent among union households and 15 percent among non-union households.

I do wonder if the Culinary Union had gone hard for Biden whether that would have made a difference. He probably wouldn’t have won — but his campaign could have used a strong second place finish.

I misread what was going on with the Culinary Union initially. My understanding, after doing some reporting, is that they were leaning Biden before Iowa and New Hampshire, but backed off after he was bad in the first two states. They figured he might struggle in Nevada and didn’t want to endorse someone who would lose and make the union look weak. It’s not clear, outside of an anti-Medicare-for-All flyer, how hard they went after Sanders. And not endorsing another candidate cleared the way for Sanders.