What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses
I actually think Iowa is the one that, at least on the Democratic side of things, will for sure get rid of the caucuses. They fired their executive director following the debacle, people inside the party told me morale was really low after the caucuses, and the Democratic Party at a national level doesn’t seem like it wants to tolerate a first-vote state that’s prone to chaos.
Fair point about the Nevada results possibly being a bad sign for Bloomberg, Nate, but Steyer is also polling at 2 percent nationally while Bloomberg sits at roughly 17 percent. But of course, disclaimer: We have no polls that were conducted entirely after the last debate. So Bloomberg’s fortunes could be in decline, but also maybe not!?! 🙃
According to preliminary entrance polls, Sanders is essentially tied with Buttigieg among white college graduates, but his advantage is larger among white non-college voters and non-white college voters, and he’s also leading heavily among non-white non-college voters. Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Warren, on the other hand, are strongest among white college graduates. Biden’s support is actually somewhat evenly spread.
Candidate preference by race and education
Chosen candidate in the 2020 Nevada Democratic caucus by race and education, according to preliminary exit poll data
| White | Non-white | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | College graduates | Non-college graduates | College graduates | Non-college graduates |
| Sanders | 23% | 36% | 35% | 50% |
| Buttigieg | 20 | 18 | 9 | 6 |
| Klobuchar | 17 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
| Warren | 16 | 12 | 14 | 5 |
| Biden | 14 | 12 | 21 | 21 |
| Steyer | 6 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| Uncommitted | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Gabbard | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
