What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

We’re still not sure when we’re going to get substantive results, and hopefully it won’t be, like, tomorrow. But if we do have an Iowa-esque situation, that “Sanders blowout” narrative could turn out to be as consequential as the “Buttigieg wins Iowa” narrative that emerged from incomplete information there.

I’m feeling pretty good about our forecast!!! Good job, Nate! 👏

I genuinely don’t know, Micah. The limited results we do have show a blowout. The New York Times, for instance, has Sanders with more than 35-point lead over Biden, who’s in second. But like Nathaniel said, there are also only 3 percent of precincts reporting!!! Then again, our forecast has Sanders winning, on average, 39 percent of the vote, so with the field this divided, I say … Sanders Blowout looks kinda likely?