FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

I’m feeling pretty good about our forecast!!! Good job, Nate! 👏

Sarah Frostenson

I genuinely don’t know, Micah. The limited results we do have show a blowout. The New York Times, for instance, has Sanders with more than 35-point lead over Biden, who’s in second. But like Nathaniel said, there are also only 3 percent of precincts reporting!!! Then again, our forecast has Sanders winning, on average, 39 percent of the vote, so with the field this divided, I say … Sanders Blowout looks kinda likely?

Clare Malone

Micah, I think we’re going to see it become part of the narrative, whether or not it ends up being a blowout, because the Sanders team is going to use the reactions of people like, say Chris Matthews on MSNBC, to say that the mainstream media/the Democratic establishment is scared of his strength. It’s sort of a win-win for them.


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