What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses
As it looks like Nevada is going super well for Sanders, they’re talking on TV about “What’s going on in the Democratic Party” — I couldn’t help thinking about what you were saying, Perry, about young voters and how poorly Biden is doing with them. Obviously Sanders does well with young voters, but Biden does horribly with them. And I sorta of wonder whether the primary so far basically comes down to the establishment settling on a candidate that was just DOA for young Democrats.
Interesting that while the caucuses have been majority-female in past years (similar to Iowa and New Hampshire), they seem closer to parity this time, according to preliminary entrance polling.
Gender: How 2020 caucusgoers compare to past years
Breakdown by gender of Nevada caucusgoers in 2020 and recent presidential election cycles, according to preliminary entrance poll data
| Gender | 2008 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Men | 41% | 44% | 48% |
| Women | 59 | 56 | 52 |
When Bloomberg and Patrick got into the race in November, their unstated but clear concern was that Warren would win Iowa and New Hampshire, come out of those with enough momentum to overtake Biden in Nevada and then be able to either defeat him or narrowly lose to him in South Carolina. I thought that seemed far-fetched at the time. But here we are, with Sanders on the eve of achieving what it looked like Warren could a few months ago.