FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

About half of caucusgoers report that this is their first Nevada Democratic presidential caucus (though I suppose they could have attended Republican caucuses, or those in other states, or for other offices) according to preliminary entrance polling. But there aren’t huge differences in candidate preferences between first-timers and caucus veterans. Sanders is doing a little better with first-time caucusgoers than experienced participants, while it’s the other way around for Klobuchar and Biden.

Laura Bronner

According to preliminary entrance polling, Warren and, especially, Biden are doing better among Democrats than independents. Meanwhile, Sanders is doing a lot better among independents than Democrats. Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer are doing about equally well with each group.

Geoffrey Skelley

Earlier, I noted that 76 percent of Nevada voters who are registered Democrats live in Clark County, home to Las Vegas. But according to the preliminary entrance poll, 68 percent of caucusgoers came from Clark County, so perhaps fewer than you might expect given registration numbers. The preliminary entrance poll found that another 21 percent came from Washoe County (home to Reno) while the remaining 10 percent came from other parts of the state.


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