FiveThirtyEight
Julia Wolfe

I’ve had to give up the household TV to a curling match, because “the Northern Ontario game is coming down to a nail-biter,” if you’re curious about the most exciting competition tonight.

Clare Malone

I think Laura raises a really interesting point: Could Warren — who has painted herself for a long time as the sensible liberal option, an actual Democrat who can stand up to Sanders (from the view of the Democratic establishment) — be hoping for utter chaos at the convention?

Laura Bronner

The other thing about Warren is that if it looks like a contested convention might be on the horizon, she might try to stick around as a consensus candidate. Back in October, Julia and I found that a large share of other candidates’ supporters were also considering Warren. But that was at the high point of her support; now, while Morning Consult, for instance, has her as the top second choice for Sanders supporters, she’s not quite as popular with other candidates’ supporters.


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