FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Watching the caucus results (slowly) come in is a lot like playing in a poker tournament: Occasional pangs of excitement but also a whole lot of waiting around.

Julia Wolfe

When we partnered with Ipsos to ask that same question about whether voters prefer a candidate who can beat Trump over one who agrees with them on the issues, we consistently got the same ratio. About 2/3 voters are putting the win first.

Geoffrey Skelley

According to preliminary entrance polls, about two-thirds of caucusgoers preferred having a nominee who could defeat Trump in November while one-third said they’d rather have a nominee who they agree with on major issues. Among those prioritizing electability, Sanders and Biden are running fairly close, but Sanders is crushing it with those who prioritized agreement on the issues.


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