What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

Sarah, our model would have Sanders as a heavy favorite overall if he wins South Carolina, but the race would not be over, necessarily, if, say, he won with 22 percent of the vote with a number of candidates closely bunched together behind him. There would still be the chance that things could change once the field winnowed down, or the chance that everyone stayed in and we went to a contested convention.

Based on preliminary entrance polls, one of Sanders’s strengths is definitely his support among Latino voters. Making up 18 percent of the electorate based on what we know so far, they are overwhelmingly backing him — far more than Biden, Buttigieg and the rest of the field.

Earlier, Nate mentioned that this caucus site’s last supporter of a nonviable candidate went to Biden. His name is Douglas, and he is a union member who works here at the Bellagio. He came in supporting Warren in part because of her debate performance on Wednesday. But when she wasn’t viable, he had a chance to realign. He interviewed both camps before choosing Biden. He said he thinks Sanders is too far left and can be impractical. “You can’t just push stuff through. Congress has to to work on these things,” he said.