FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

South Carolina actually represents something of a sticky wicket for Sanders. It seems like he’s competitive enough there to be able to pull off a win — see our South Carolina polling average — but yeah, it’s not like Nevada where’s it’s just a really good state for him. So how does his campaign manage expectations there?

Laura Bronner

Right, Nate — Biden is doing better among black voters in Nevada than among any other race, according to preliminary entrance polls. At the same time, though, Sanders is not far behind Biden with black caucusgoers.

Sarah Frostenson

We don’t have exact numbers yet, but it does seem as if Sanders still underperformed among black voters, according to preliminary exit polls, while that demographic was one of Biden’s stronger groups. Makes sense that he’d want to make a beeline to South Carolina as a result, especially if the margin here in Nevada is large, though that’s still TBD.


Exit mobile version