What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses

So far, according to the preliminary entrance polls, 65 percent of caucusgoers are white, while 11 percent are black and 18 percent are Latino. Sanders is doing particularly well so far among Latino voters, while Biden and Steyer are stronger among black voters than other groups, and Buttigieg and Klobuchar are doing better with white voters than with others.

I should close the circle on that Sparks High School precinct where Sanders was initially the only viable candidate: Warren’s group stuck together and was able to add a person on realignment to become viable. So Sanders was not the only viable candidate in this precinct after all.

Like in Iowa, the Nevada caucuses are somewhat weighted toward rural areas because each precinct is guaranteed at least one county delegate, and the county delegate percentages are what will decide how many national delegates candidates get. I took a look at the county delegate counts and compared them to the number of registered Democrats, which is what determines the number of county delegates in each precinct. Clark County (Las Vegas) has 76.3 percent of the Democratic registered voters but 74.4 percent of the county delegates. That’s not a huge difference, but it speaks to the fact that some of the lightly-populated counties in the state have a slightly larger share of county delegates than share of registered Democrats.