Updated |
What Went Down In The 2020 Nevada Caucuses
Extremely small sample size alert, but at this precinct in Washoe County, Warren did much better among today’s voters (9 out of 36, or 25 percent) than among early voters (6 out of 66, or 9 percent). The debate effect?
Decision: How 2020 caucusgoers compare to past years
Breakdown by decision time of Nevada caucusgoers in 2020 and recent presidential election cycles, according to preliminary entrance poll data
| When did they decide? | 2008 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Within the last three days | 18% | 13% | 15% |
| Before that | 81 | 86 | 84 |
Early voters are more likely to be firmly committed to a candidate. If you’re undecided, you wait, in other words. So I don’t think there are likely to be that many voters in the bucket that the Warren folks are describing. With that said, the timing of the debate wasn’t ideal given the popularity of early voting here.