FiveThirtyEight
Santul Nerkar

It will be interesting to see how the Tar Heels attack the aggressive Golden Eagles’ defense. Marquette has the 44th-best defense and plays a pressing style, with a 10.9 percent steal rate that ranks No. 56 in Division I. North Carolina, meanwhile, has one of the least aggressive defenses in men’s basketball, ranking 302nd in the sport with a steal percentage of just 7.7.


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