FiveThirtyEight
Jake Lourim

That’s some interesting game theory, Neil.

Neil Paine

I selectively went against our model, haha. It’s funny because we’re in a group with a bunch of people who you assume will use the model, and the first rule of bracket pools is to go against the teams you know everyone else is taking. But then, if we all know that, maybe the true contrarian will go WITH the model … 🤔

Tony Chow

Micah, our forecast gives UNC a <1 percent chance of winning it all, so I would say I did not depend on our forecast much to make my bracket.


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