What Went Down In The First Round Of The NCAA Tournament

Our model has the Wolverines with a 38 percent win probability at halftime. That seems about right; 7 points is a real deficit, but I’m not sure you’d say they were outplayed, and the shooting luck may even out in the second half.

Ahem. I will abstain from sharing my alma mater’s mascot.

Rams are now outscoring the Wolverines 24-0 from beyond the arc.