FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Nate, wasn’t there like one poll?

Nate Silver

If the Espometer is right and Hyde-Smith wins my mid-high single digits, it will be another very good night for the polls, which had her winning by 7.5 points on average.

Geoffrey Skelley

No question that Espy’s chances are looking slim, but he’s certainly outperformed the Nov. 6 Democratic vote all over the state. In Lowndes County (Columbus, Miss.) on the Alabama border, the GOP won it by 6 points three weeks ago, but with almost 86 percent of precincts in, Espy leads it by 20 points.


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