FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Lee County, the home of Tupelo, hosted the president while he stumped on behalf of Hyde-Smith yesterday. About half of its precincts have reported and she leads by 33 points, similar to the GOP’s 35-point edge in the Nov. 6 vote.

Nate Silver

The overall Espometer has fallen back down to 5.6 points. An alternative version of the Espometer based only on counties that are at least 80 percent complete with their vote count is slightly better for Espy at 6.5 points. Both are shy of what he’d need, though, barring differentially high turnout in blue counties.

Geoffrey Skelley

Nate, one might think Chris McDaniel would want to take another shot at the Senate after falling just short in 2014 and then losing again three weeks ago. But it seems he has his eye on running for governor next year.


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