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Updated 6:53 PM | Mar. 22, 2019

What Went Down In The First Round Of The NCAA Tournament

By FiveThirtyEight

Filed under March Madness

Geoff Foster
6:53 pm

That concludes our coverage of the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Thank you for joining us! Best of luck to all the college basketball fans whose teams are still dancing. Congratulations to UVA for avoiding an unthinkable calamity. I must say, judging by this blog, the women’s tourney brought the excitement today. No real shockers on the men’s side — we weren’t shocked by your win, Anteaters!

Neil Paine
6:52 pm

Bring on Zion in approximately 20 minutes.

Sara Ziegler
6:49 pm

And neither of my teams has yet to play! Should be a good weekend. 🤞

Emily Scherer
6:49 pm

The UConn 2-seed revenge tour starts tonight.

Tony Chow
6:47 pm

We have a 12-vs.-13 matchup in the second round! We give Oregon a 69 percent chance of beating the Anteaters.

Jake Lourim
6:46 pm

If not for that last 3-pointer, that would have been the most lopsided 12-5 upset in the history of the tournament. At 72-54, it ended up being the third-most lopsided. Murray State by 19 over Marquette last night was second. (Still No. 1 is Eastern Michigan 76, Mississippi State 56, in 1991.)

Emily Scherer
6:45 pm

Badger here, off to cure my disappointment through lots and lots of cheese 🧀

Jake Lourim
6:43 pm

Tough ending for Ethan Happ. He was 5-for-10. The rest of his team was 14-for-49.

Tony Chow
6:43 pm

Death, taxes and 12-5 upsets. Sorry, Badger nation.

Josh Planos
6:42 pm

After 139 career starts and more than 4,000 minutes played, that’ll do it for Ethan Happ’s college career. Seems like it was just 20 years ago that a young Ethan first arrived on campus in Madison. And indeed it was.

Neil Paine
6:42 pm

Of the FiveThirtyEight model’s favorite double-digit seed upset picks (>30 percent odds): Florida won; Oregon will win; Seton Hall lost; Murray State won; Ohio State — we’ll see; Iowa won; Minnesota lost.

Sara Ziegler
6:39 pm

Oregon on a 16-2 run. Ooof, Badgers.

Sara Ziegler
6:38 pm

And the Buffalo men finished their business, too.

Tony Chow
6:38 pm

While that dramatic ending to Drake vs Mizzou was happening, the No. 10 Buffalo upset of No. 7 Rutgers did actually happen. So, brush your shoulders off I guess, FiveThirtyEight.

Neil Paine
6:38 pm

Meanwhile, Oregon has pulled ahead by 14 against the Badgers.

Jake Lourim
6:37 pm

Another good look. Seems like teams have really been drawing up perfect plays in last-second timeouts, just not hitting the shots.

Sara Ziegler
6:36 pm

What an ending!

Drake’s shot is just barely off, and Mizzou moves on.

Tony Chow
6:35 pm

Is there VAR in college basketball?

Neil Paine
6:34 pm

She rattles home the second, misses the third. There are still 1.1 seconds left.

Neil Paine
6:33 pm

Well…

Neil Paine
6:33 pm

So much for double-OT. Would take three straight missed FTs.

Tony Chow
6:33 pm

Started from the bottom…..now we’re here. (I’m sorry)

Neil Paine
6:32 pm

OMG

Sara Ziegler
6:32 pm

DON’T CALL THAT FOUL

Neil Paine
6:30 pm

And the squiggly lines in that chart!

Neil Paine
6:30 pm

After the made FT, Drake and Mizzou tied again with 15.9 seconds left in OT No. 1.

(I’m kinda assuming it goes to double OT.)

Sara Ziegler
6:29 pm

Look at that excitement index!

Tony Chow
6:29 pm

By far the craziest chart of this tournament thus far:

Sara Ziegler
6:27 pm

YESSSSSS

Julia Wolfe
6:27 pm

Just popping in to say that since we had Drake as the underdog, if they win, you could say they:

Geoff Foster
6:23 pm

With Arizona State’s imminent loss, the streak of First Four teams winning at least one game in the proper tournament will likely come to an end. North Dakota State would have to beat Duke to keep the streak alive … so … yeah, it’s dead.

Sara Ziegler
6:22 pm

Today’s two Buffalo games look like they’ll end at roughly the same time. Though the men’s game has been over for a while — the Bulls are up by 19 on Arizona State. But the women are locked in a pithed battle with Rutgers — the Bills are up 3 with three minutes left.

Neil Paine
6:21 pm

Ethan Happ just went barreling into the Wisconsin bench to save a ball, then got back in and made a great post spin to draw a foul.

Sara Ziegler
6:17 pm

All of the FiveThirtyEight watchers just exclaimed together, “OHHHHHH!”

Tony Chow
6:17 pm

We’re going to overtime in Greensboro!

Neil Paine
6:16 pm

Mizzou will have to go the entire length of the floor in 2.5 seconds, so it will either be a classic “One Shining Moment” or OT.

Tony Chow
6:15 pm

This is madness. Two free throws tie it for Missouri. And then a steal on one end and a block on another and another block on the other and it’s still tied. 2.5 seconds left.

Neil Paine
6:14 pm

Wild finish in this Mizzou-Drake game! Steals and fouls all over the place.
Sara Ziegler
6:14 pm

DON’T PICK UP YOUR DRIBBLE, DRAKE PLAYER.

Tony Chow
6:13 pm

The tiger stripes on the side of these Mizzou uniforms are 🔥

Tony Chow
6:10 pm

One close game in the women’s tournament just ended, and another one is coming down to the wire.

Neil Paine
6:09 pm

Oregon has also been setting up a bunch of lob slams for Kenny Wooten in this half so far.

Geoff Foster
6:08 pm

Point guard Payton Pritchard has been absolutely carrying Oregon during the Ducks’ run. In the final three games of the Pac-12 tourney, he had 20, 18 and 20 points and 5, 8 and 7 assists. He has a great handle and can get to the basket himself or drive and kick.

Tony Chow
6:07 pm

Day 1 of women’s tournament > Day 1 of men’s tournament — and it’s not really that close.

Sara Ziegler
6:06 pm

Another super-exciting game!

Tony Chow
6:05 pm

Bucknell with two chances to send the game to overtime but couldn’t convert. FSU holds on to win 70-67.

Tony Chow
6:01 pm

Great inbound play from Bucknell cuts the lead to 2. 14.6 seconds left. FSU ball.

Neil Paine
6:00 pm

Oregon and Wisconsin trading threes and dunks in this second half. Is it possible this game might get … exciting???

Tony Chow
5:59 pm

Bucknell women with some great defense but failed to get the rebound. Florida State grabs its 20th offensive rebound of the game. Four-point FSU lead, 22 seconds left.

Jake Lourim
5:54 pm

Hard to watch the two games in Tulsa and not think Buffalo has been more impressive than Texas Tech ahead of a likely second-round matchup. Texas Tech had 109.3 adjusted offensive efficiency, 102.4 adjusted defensive efficiency vs. Northern Kentucky, via KenPom. Buffalo cruising, shooting 52 percent, limiting Arizona State to 1-for-14 from the 3-point line.

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