FiveThirtyEight
Sara Ziegler

Maryland-Belmont tipping off now.

Sara Ziegler

Neil Paine

Chris Fuamatu-Maʻafala all the way.

Geoff Foster

Queen with another 3 and now it’s only a six-point lead for Auburn.

Sara Ziegler

Mine is Doug Mientkiewicz, Tony.

Tony Chow

What difficult athlete name do you get right every time? I know Chris knows Antetokounmpo by heart.

Jake Lourim

Josh Planos

Geoff, interesting that Aurrecoechea is listed as a junior, because the man appears to be ~ 35 years old.

Neil Paine

Fourth-seeded FSU is struggling with No. 13 Vermont, but 7-foot-4 Christ Koumadje is causing some matchup problems with the Catamounts inside.

Nate Silver

Tony, I’m not expecting much of a “game” against Bradley, although [checks notes] uh-oh looks like MSU is already down 6 points.

Tony Chow

Nate, are you just joining for the Michigan State game and then leaving?

Sara Ziegler

It hurts me just looking at it.

Geoff Foster

New Mexico State’s Ivan Aurrecoechea haunts copy editors’ dreams.

Neil Paine

Vermont comes out and makes a three right out of halftime. They’re shooting 23 percent on twos yet staying in the game by hitting 53 percent from downtown.

Geoff Foster

Auburn is 7-of-13 from 3-point land this half.

Neil Paine

A barrage of threes for Auburn here in the second half. That’s 10 in the game now.

Sara Ziegler

Wow

Tony Chow

Cyprus won 5-0! The next Euro games aren’t until 3:45 p.m. Eastern, so I guess we can watch some basketball for now.

Geoff Foster

Speaking of winners, how is the Cyprus-San Marino game going?

Tony Chow

Yeah, but Geoff, being a Carolina fan means I’m always a winner … in life.

Josh Planos

Easy to focus on the 2016 opening round loss to Middle Tennessee State, but since 2000, no team has performed better in the tourney against seed expectations than Michigan State.

Sara Ziegler

Michigan State-Bradley underway now.

Geoff Foster

Tony, you realize if you pick based on your fan interests, you will always lose. (Note: I picked Michigan to make Final Four, so I’m a complete hypocrite.)

Geoff Foster

I picked Villanova in the South, and I’m pretty sure they will lose to St. Mary’s later today.

Tony Chow

I got Michigan State, Gonzaga, Virgina and UNC. More importantly, I had Duke losing in the second round.

Micah Cohen

I got Gonzaga, Michigan State, Tennessee and Auburn!

Neil Paine

Apparently I picked Virginia, Michigan State, Texas Tech and Auburn.

Jake Lourim

I’ve got Duke, Michigan, Virginia and UNC.

Josh Planos

I went with Virginia Tech, Gonzaga, Kentucky and Tennessee. None have played and I’m regretting just about all of them.

Nate Silver

I would have picked all four No. 1 seeds, but I’m from East Lansing, so I picked Michigan State over goddamned Duke, obviously.

Sara Ziegler

I have Duke, and I kinda hate myself.

Tony Chow

Here’s who the FiveThirtyEight bracket pool thinks is going to win:

Duke: 5

Virginia: 4

UNC: 3

Michigan state: 2

Tennessee: 1

Gonzaga: 1

Michigan: 1

🤔 I wonder who picked Michigan State to win it all. Nate and……

Geoff Foster

This was one of the hardest brackets to pick in years for me. I found it almost impossible to identify teams to advance to the Final Four in both the South and Midwest, so I just left that side blank.

Josh Planos

After listening to Hot Takedown, I undid all of my predictions and picked from the heart. My bracket will be in pieces momentarily.

Tony Chow

If you haven’t listened to the recent Hot Takedown podcast yet (it’s back!!), Sara, Geoff and Neil shared their Final Four picks on it. Who does everyone like?

Neil Paine

In related news, excited to see Belmont in action soon. We give them a competitive 38 percent chance of beating Maryland and 37 percent against LSU if that matchup does happen.

Tony Chow

LSU will head into the next round as slight favorites (57 percent) against whoever wins the Maryland/Belmont matchup later today.

Sara Ziegler

In other action, Florida State and Vermont are tied at the half.

Geoff Foster

You have to feel for Miye Oni, the Ivy League player of the year. He was 2-of-16 today and 1-of-10 from three. He probably should have stopped shooting?

Jake Lourim

Yale was 19-for-35 from two, 8-for-35 from three, and they lost by 5? Man.

Neil Paine

LSU survives! Yale didn’t make it easy.

Chris Herring

Just brutal.

Chris Herring

Yale has made 4 of its past 5 threes after making 4 of their first 28, I think

Geoff Foster

Chris Herring

Perhaps by accident, but still.

Chris Herring

Yale keeps fouling LSU’s players by hitting them in the eye!

Geoff Foster

Another three for Yale on a very difficult contested look from the corner, down only 4 now and will keep fouling. LSU has been so-so on the line so far.

Chris Herring

Maybe a little. Wasn’t it just last year or the year before that Texas A&M came back from 11 down to win in the final minute or something? College players aren’t the greatest FT shooters.

Micah Cohen

Our model gives Yale only a 2 percent chance of winning when they’re down 5 with ~40 seconds remaining — that seems a bit harsh?

Chris Herring

Finally, a three. But maybe too late. LSU still up 5, with just over 40 seconds left.


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