What Went Down In The First Round Of The NCAA Tournament

I think New Mexico State-Auburn will be a shootout, if nothing else! The Aggies are 0-8 in the tournament since 2000 — the only team without a win and at least eight appearances over that stretch. Auburn is coming in hot, having just won the SEC title. But it’ll be a shootout from the perimeter. Among tournament teams, only Villanova (53.5 percent) has a higher 3-point attempt rate than Auburn (49.6 percent). But New Mexico State isn’t that far behind (46.4 percent).

Gotta be Murray State, right? (Ja Morant!) Our model gives the Racers a 36 percent chance at the upset, the best for any team seeded 12th or lower today.

Among today’s day games, we have two No. 12s vs. 5s and two No. 13s v. 4s — notorious breeding grounds for upsets. Of these eight games, which one do you think will most likely stir some bracket havoc?