FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

As a slight counter to that though, Harry, Trump’s margin in Arizona — which apparently held up pretty well in election day votes, although they’re taking forever to count — is pretty darn impressive. No, that doesn’t matter for the delegate math since Arizona is winner-take-all. But it’s a sign that the other campaigns have a lot of work to do if they want to win large, relatively diverse states.

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