FiveThirtyEight
David Wasserman

Warning: Bernie Sanders Not As Close As He May Appear Tonight

According to our delegate tracker, Sanders needs about 58 percent of the delegates from here on out to overtake Clinton in the pledged delegate count. Some of tonight’s results might give Bernie backers false hope: He could easily reach that share of the vote in Idaho and Utah. But as our scorecard indicates, wins of that magnitude won’t help Sanders meaningfully chip away at Clinton’s 300-pledged delegate lead. And, as Nate has noted, Arizona could easily negate Sanders delegate leads out of Idaho and Utah.

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