To respond to Nate’s answer on when Clinton will cross the delegate majority threshold, I have a slightly different take. The media will probably treat the Democratic race as “clinched” when one candidate has 2,383 delegates, superdelegates included. Right now, according to the Associated Press, Clinton has the loyalty of 467 superdelegates and FiveThirtyEight’s count has her at 1,176 pledged delegates, meaning she only needs 740 more to reach a majority.
If she outperforms her targets to the same degree she has to date, she will win an additional 649 through the end of May and be on the very cusp of 2,383 delegates heading into the final primaries on June 7. So while she may not technically clinch the nomination until the very end, California could turn out to be treated as a mere formality.
